No public NHC forecast has been issued at this replay time.
To landfallT−5d
Sep 25, 2:00 PM EDT
Counties above threshold0
Modeled households0
County planning model
Lower confidenceHigher confidence
HeightModeled households · stable event scale
ColorForecast to post-storm index
Final best track and analyzed position
Selected concurrent NDFD coverage beneath county borders. Alerts are not necessarily attributed to the named storm.
TS12345
Final analyzed track intensity
H-120 referenceLandfallResponse day 7
H-120 Hurricane Operations
Public-Source Historical Replay · Ian, Helene, and Milton
Replay the Decision Window
See exactly what public forecast evidence existed — and when — as three hurricanes approached landfall.
Time-Safe EvidenceEvery forecast, alert, and estimate appears only after its historical release time.
How to Use It
Play the event, drag the timeline, or jump to a decision snapshot (H-120 through response day 3).
Storms: switch between Ian, Helene, and Milton in the top-right picker.
Cameras: seven views, including Storm eye and Follow storm.
Evidence layers: NHC advisories, uncertainty cones, wind fields, concurrent NOAA alerts, and the final best track.
Counties: click one for its model inputs; change height and color encodings in the analysis panel.
Share: the URL captures storm, time, view, and filters.
Historical Storms3
Replay Window14 Days
Time Step6 Hours
Counties Modeled534
What It Is Not
The H-Hour estimate is an NHC-derived public proxy, not a historical Red Cross decision record. Modeled households are planning estimates, not observed impact, need, or Red Cross service delivery. Concurrent alerts are not necessarily attributed to the selected storm.